NASA: So…2014 May Not Have Been Warmest Year After All

By this point, it’s too late for NASA to admit the truth. The big news that 2014 was the warmest year on record already made the headlines and excited the climate alarmists. It doesn’t matter that it was all hype. Even NASA is now admitting that it’s only “38% sure” that 2014 was the warmest year on record. Their confession’s a little late, but better late than never I guess. According to the Daily Mail:

The NASA climate scientists who claimed 2014 set a new record for global warmth last night admitted they were only 38 per cent sure this was true.

In a press release on Friday, NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) claimed its analysis of world temperatures showed ‘2014 was the warmest year on record’.

The claim made headlines around the world, but yesterday it emerged that GISS’s analysis – based on readings from more than 3,000 measuring stations worldwide – is subject to a margin of error. NASA admits this means it is far from certain that 2014 set a record at all.

Yet the NASA press release failed to mention this, as well as the fact that the alleged ‘record’ amounted to an increase over 2010, the previous ‘warmest year’, of just two-hundredths of a degree – or 0.02C. The margin of error is said by scientists to be approximately 0.1C – several times as much.

As a result, GISS’s director Gavin Schmidt has now admitted NASA thinks the likelihood that 2014 was the warmest year since 1880 is just 38 per cent. However, when asked by this newspaper whether he regretted that the news release did not mention this, he did not respond. Another analysis, from the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project, drawn from ten times as many measuring stations as GISS, concluded that if 2014 was a record year, it was by an even tinier amount.

We’re dealing with hundredths of a degree here. And a tenth of degree margin of error. They must be really desperate for the Earth to be heating up. If it is even getting warmer at all, it’s by so miniscule an amount that it’s statistically irrelevant and meaningless.

Even if the globe has been heating up over the past few decades, I think even most climate scientists would agree that the rate at which it’s allegedly heating up is far lower than they expected and predicted, given the record output and continual increase of carbon emissions. The rate at which Earth has been [allegedly] warming is so low that given the margin of error, it’s perfectly plausible that it’s completely stopped or even reversed. If there really is a correlation between carbon emissions and the global climate, even the slowing down of warming makes no sense. Either we don’t understand the relationship between carbon dioxide and the climate (perhaps the causation is the other way around…as global temperatures increase, carbon dioxide increases as a result), or there is no causation/correlation between the two.